As unemployment soars in EU territory particularly in Spain and
Greece Mr.Draghi has shown his willingness to do more if needed but
question is what more he can do when Germany wanted him to increase interest
rate??
At 27.2%, Spain is
suffering the worst unemployment rate in modern history.
Spain is tied with Greece, and is
worse than the approximately 25% unemployment rate that the U.S. saw during The
Great Depression.
The causes, by now, are familiar —
the end of a massive, bubble-fueled construction boom in 2008 led to spiraling
unemployment and a deep recession, wreaking havoc on the Spanish economy.
And although the country managed to
return to marginally positive economic growth in 2010 and 2011, it has since
slipped back into recession, and the outlook isn't good.
Unlike the Spanish growth
trajectory, the rise in Spanish unemployment since 2008 has been incredibly
consistent. Each new statistical release bears the terrible news that more
Spaniards have joined the ranks of the unemployed.
If situation doesn't improve in
coming six months as Mr.Draghi told yesterday there will be wild protest across
EU(read France, Spain and Greece).There are still ample of chances that EU
might fragmented though it’s unlikely to happen any time soon as we are in
still Central Bank easing period which is not going to be there for indefinite time and world will realize the illusion of growth.
Yesterday our call for buying
Eur/Usd was not positive though it didn't hit stop either however selling Dax
was positive call but did not achieve target either we are expecting it to
happen this week.
Following are trade calls for
today,
- Sell Gold around 1469 stop above 1479 target 1455/48
- Sell Chf/Jpy around 106.10 stop above 107 target 104.90(with in 2-3 days)
- Buy June Crude Oil around 94.75 stop below 94.00 target around 96.10
For more info please visit :www.cfb.ae
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