As earning season
started with Alcoa markets especially Dow is again around all time high and
investor are hopeful for fantabulous earnings but
expect technology and banking stocks it's hard for other sectors to
perform spectacular.It's been very clear the easing policy is not reaching
to each and every sector it's merely benefiting some sector specially banking and that's why Mr.Bernanke said
yesterday that banking sector is very strong.
Last Thursday, the new governor of the Bank of Japan
(BOJ), Haruhiko Kuroda, announced that the central bank would double the monetary base of
the country — adding an additional $1.4 trillion — by the end of 2014
in an attempt to end the deflation plaguing the economy. To achieve that,
Kuroda will buy government bonds and other assets to inject cash into the
economy — what has now become familiar as quantitative easing or QE
— to bump inflation up to a targeted 2%. The plan is part of a greater
strategy ushered in by new Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to restart the
economy through massive fiscal and monetary stimulus. It also expands on the
efforts by the Federal
Reserve, Bank of England and European Central Bank to
stimulate growth and smooth over financial turmoil by infusing huge sums of new money into the global economy. The question facing the world economy is: How far can Abe
take this strategy before making the nation’s finances unsustainable? And even
if the BOJ is successful in ending deflation, that may only heighten the risks
to the economy.
Moving
from mild deflation to sharply higher inflation will expose Japan to risks of
vast financial turmoil. Yet it is to this very risk that Tokyo is now opening
the door. Given the size of its economy, the scale of its debt and how tightly
its financial system is interwoven with world markets, Tokyo’s strategy holds
frightening implications for us all.However first day of week didn’t start with
bang as markets was still under BOJ’s easing shadow and it kept stocks on
higher side hence our Dow selling didn’t go well and other trades like selling
Eur/Usd or Usd/Chf is almost at same level.
Following are trade calls for today,- Buy Gbp/Usd at 1.5245 stop below 1.5190 target 1.5340
- Buy Gold at 1572/73 stop below 1565 target 1587
- Sell May Crude Oil at 94.20 stop above 94.90 target 92.90
For more info visit :www.cfb.ae
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