Analyst are coming up
with different reasons for why Gold is shattering down some are blaming
BoJ some to Cyprus or some analyst to JPM which bespeak that no one
knows the correct reason.The most important factor for Gold crashing down is that global
inflation is falling, reducing gold’s value as a hedge against rising prices.
Gold bugs who were betting on an outburst of inflation are scrambling to
reverse their bets and exit their gold positions at any price.
For consumers struggling to make ends meet, it may seem hard to
believe that inflation is falling. But the evidence is clear from JPMorgan
Chase’s (JPM) global consumer price index, which covers more than 30
countries that collectively represent more than 90 percent of world economic
output.According to the JPMorgan index,
global inflation peaked at 4 percent in 2011 and has fallen steadily since.
Global prices in February were up only about 2.5 percent from a year earlier,
the bank’s index says.
JPMorgan has two scenarios for
what happens next. Its main one is based on a “bottom-up” collection of
analysts’ forecasted price trends sector by sector around the world. That shows
inflation rising very slightly from its current level for the rest of 2013. In
contrast, JPMorgan’s “top-down” analysis, which is prepared by the banks’
economists and takes into account prices of commodity futures contracts, among other
factors, shows inflation moving down closer to 2 percent in the second half of
2013.
Following are trade calls for today,
- Sell Eur/Usd at 1.3130 stop above 1.3180 target 1.2995
- Buy Aud/Usd at 1.0310 stop below 1.0270 target 1.0420
- Sell Nasdaq at 2820/22 stop above 2830 target 2792
For more info visit : www.cfb.ae
No comments:
Post a Comment